Unit 9 · Bivariate Data

Scatter Plots and Lines of Best Fit

A scatter plot shows bivariate numerical data. A line of best fit models the trend. Slope and intercept must be interpreted in context.

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Notes

Association language

Positive, negative, or none. Linear or nonlinear. Strong or weak. Outliers sit apart from the cloud. Correlation is not causation — Algebra I will make that explicit.

Interpreting the model

If ŷ = 2.4x + 31 models minutes of practice (x) and quiz score (y), the slope 2.4 means each additional minute of practice is associated with about 2.4 more points. The intercept 31 is the model’s predicted score with 0 minutes of practice — which may or may not make sense in the real world.

Vocabulary

line of best fit

A line that comes close to the data points and models the linear trend.

Example: A line through the middle of a positively associated cloud.

outlier

A data point that is unusually far from the overall pattern.

Example: A student who studied 5 minutes and scored 100 may be an outlier.

Worked examples

Try the prompt first. The steps stay folded until you ask to see them.

Interpret slope

A model ŷ = 0.8t + 12 relates weeks of practice t to free-throw percentage. What does 0.8 mean?

Common errors

Watch for

Saying the intercept always makes sense

x = 0 may be outside the data or physically impossible.

Fix: Ask whether the intercept is an interpolation or an extrapolation.

Explore with an applet

Guided practice

Submit each answer to check it. The key is not shown until you do.

Question 1 of 3Both examsNY-8.SP.3Grade 8 Mathematics · Spring 2024 · Q18Non-calculatorproficient

The scatter plot of an alligator’s weight (pounds) versus growth time (weeks) is modeled by a line of best fit. Which statement best describes what the slope of that line represents?

Answer choices
Choose or type an answer first. The key stays hidden until you do.
Question 2 of 3Both examsNY-8.SP.3Grade 8 Mathematics · Spring 2023 · Q23Non-calculatorproficient

Nathan models sunflower height y (cm) against fertilizer x (grams) with the line of best fit y = 0.35x + 2. Based on the model, what does the slope of the line represent?

Answer choices
Choose or type an answer first. The key stays hidden until you do.
Question 3 of 3Both examsNY-8.SP.3Grade 8 Mathematics · Spring 2024 · Q18Non-calculatorproficient

The scatter plot of an alligator’s weight (pounds) versus growth time (weeks) is modeled by a line of best fit. Which statement best describes what the slope of that line represents?

Answer choices
Choose or type an answer first. The key stays hidden until you do.

Intervention

Sort association cards: positive/negative/none paired with sample plots.

Enrichment

Algebra I: discuss residual sign (above/below the line) without requiring computation by hand.

Explain your reasoning

Sentence starters · Notice and Wonder · Three Reads · Think-Pair-Share · Compare and Connect · Math Talk · Stronger and Clearer Each Time

  • There is a … association because as x increases, y …
  • The slope of the model means…